Sunday, March 12, 2023

Forecast of reversal begun by the new Cold War

 Lawrence J. Korb and Stephen Cimbala cowrote an article whose title asks the question: “Has a New Cold War Already Begun?” The subtitle goes on to make this assertion: “Who prevails in the Ukraine war will determine whether international law, consensual government, and human decency will thrive and succeed.” The article was published on March 10, 2023 in The National Interest.

 

It is obvious that “rule of law” and “decency,” which are invoked in the subtitle, are meant to apply to what’s now called the “Western Democracies.” By implication, it also means that in the opinion of the writers, most if not all of the other jurisdictions are lawless and indecent. Can this be true or has there been a reversal in the supposed account of the reality that’s unfolding at this time?

 

To argue their point, Korb and Cimbala begin the discussion by offering the following account of history as to what has transpired up to now. It is here reproduced in condensed form:

 

“During the Cold War, some anticipated a third world war that could involve a global nuclear holocaust between Russians and Americans. A failure of deterrence between the two sides, would have put at risk the entirety of human civilization. Ronald Reagan then seized the moment to work with the Soviet Union. But the Russian response to the US-led Western support of Ukraine today has increased the risk of a broader conflict”.

 

The writers further claim that consensual government prevails in a region that is now free but was once part of the former Soviet Union. It is currently under attack, they say, by a Russia that’s carrying on with a war which risks to destroy political legitimacy and human rights in those countries. Korb and Cimbala go on to ascertain that the war has attracted warriors from around the globe, who come to do battle with ideas, economic strategies, and kinetic weapons.

 

The writers reveal that what concerns them most, are the intentions of Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, and what they speculate could be the grand design he is entertaining in his imagination for restructuring the global order. It is that for this to happen, the Western system of Liberal Democracy will have to be destroyed thus make room for Putin’s concoction.

 

Added to these worries, are those of a rising China that’s now forming a long term strategic alliance with Russia. Korb and Cimbala explain that the synergy which will be generated by this coming together, will more than compensate for the failure of the former Soviet Union to dominate the world economically, therefore its failure to dominate militarily as well. This was due, say the writers, to the reality that the Soviet system closed itself to the world and stagnated in isolation.

 

By contrast, say Korb and Cimbala, the rulers of China opened their country to the world. Having suffered a century of humiliation at the hands of the Western powers, they launched the Cultural Revolution of the 1950s during which time they filled their people with the limitless ambition to catch up with and surpass those who suppressed them and kept them backward. The result of this effort is that the Chinese trajectory into the future now looks like the flawless flight of a rocket racing its way toward the firmament of a promising new tomorrow — not only for the Chinese themselves but also for those, like Russia’s Vladimir Putin, who now share their vision.

 

But why is that project bound to succeed at a time when the Western Powers who oppose ittightly united as they are in the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)seem to have the upper hand in the war that’s unfolding in Ukraine? The answer to that question jumps at you when you read the juxtaposed two paragraphs that follow. They are the condensed version of excerpts lifted from the Korb and Cimbala article. Here is the first paragraph:

 

“Putin sees the democratic West as offering to the world a decadent set of political and moral guidelines and guardrails. China has developed strategic dependencies on Beijing via the Belt and Road Initiative to the control of global infrastructure. Russia’s war against Ukraine is supported by Iran and North Korea. Their leaders, like all autocracies and authoritarian regimes, when challenged by dissident forces within their own societies, place blame for their failures on foreign influence”.

 

As to you, my dear reader, what you need to do is focus on the claim that when challenged by dissenting forces within their own societies, the autocratic leaders of authoritarian regimes place blame for their failures on foreign influence. This done, look at what Korb and Cimbala say is happening in the so-called democracies of the West:

 

“Proponents of anti-democratic ideas are finding audiences in the US and elsewhere because of the ubiquitous means of global communication made available by modern technology. Some ‘apps’ offer seductive political content and messaging that can divide people against one another based on ideology, nationality, ethnicity, or other characteristics. A flood of divisive philosophical sewerage spills over from the basements of hatemongers into the higher reaches of foreign offices. The ability to create nearly instantaneous mobs of rage over misdescribed or sensationalized versions of events can create civil strife that places political order in imminent jeopardy”.

 

Do I need to say anything more to convince you that what these people believe is strong by virtue of its moral rectitude, is in reality a fragile construct that’s breaking under the weight of an authentic morality now rising and by which humanity shall live in harmony to the end of time?