Wednesday, January 30, 2013

To Detect The Superficial Smart Aleck Types


It happens at the start of every school year that a teacher would receive a student who puzzles him. At times the student would show a high degree of intelligence; at other times he would show the opposite. The way to assess the intelligence of such a student is to probe his depth of understanding in the subject where he seems to display a high degree of intelligence.

It is important to do this because it often happens that a student would come from an environment where he was immersed in a subject he learned something about, but learned it at the superficial level only. Thus, a probing of the depth to which the student understands the subject will help the teacher determine the student's level of intelligence.

That same technique can be used to assess the level of intelligence shown by the editorial writers of a publication – people that may puzzle you at times by their erratic performances. It is not that their intelligence or lack of it should be of interest to you; it is that you need to know how much credibility you should assign to the points they make in the areas where your knowledge is not complete.

We have an example against which we can apply that technique and see what comes of it. The piece is a Wall Street Journal editorial, published on January 31, 2013 under the title: “Hagel and the Shrinking Gulliver”. The editors who wrote it begin with this confident assertion: “The Senate needs to pin down the Defense nominee on big issues.” And they give their reasons as to why it should be so. They say that a few things happened which tend to negate President Obama's declaration to the effect that “a decade of war is now ending.”

And they itemize those things: Israel bombed a neighbor yet again. An American Commander in Afghanistan has once again made a prediction that was not too rosy. The French conducted a successful military operation in Mali. Egypt's military chief has hinted for the umpteenth time that if the street demonstrations do not end, he may order the troops to intervene. The Chinese navy conducted another legitimate exercise along its coastline. And the Pentagon announced plans concerning cyber defenses and air bases in North Africa.

Based on that litany, the editors of the Journal draw the conclusion that “war is not ending” which, in their view, negates the President's declaration. And so, they go a step further and question the qualifications of Mr. Hagel to be Secretary of Defense. To do that, they bring up the subject of the Pentagon budget. Since your knowledge in this field is limited, you want to know if you should believe what they say. How do you do that?

You do it by returning to the litany they say proves the war is not ending. Knowing what wars the President was talking about, you ask: What war are the editors of the Journal talking about? Do they consider the litany they gave as proof that some kind of a war is still on? You go through the whole article in search of an answer to that question. And this is what you encounter at the very end: “The US [is] the world's superpower. This has … kept Europe peaceful, Asia mostly stable, the seas secure … and the US safe for nearly 70 years.

And so you ask: But what about the Korean War, the Vietnam War, the Cuban revolution, the Bay of pigs fiasco, the Cuban missile crisis, the Cambodian Genocide, the Rwandan genocide, the Balkan genocide, the Spanish Revolution, the fall of Communism, the Eastern European revolutions, the various South American revolutions, the Rhodesia/Zimbabwe transformation, the South African transformation, the various African tribal wars, The Sri Lanka civil war, The East Timor uprising and the hundred other wars that erupted in the past 70 years? Don't they count for something?

If the world was manageable while those wars were happening, why the panic now with a litany that only looks like this: Israel bombed a neighbor yet again. An American Commander in Afghanistan has once again made a prediction that was not too rosy. The French conducted a successful military operation in Mali. Egypt's military chief has hinted for the umpteenth time that if the street demonstrations do not end, he may order the troops to intervene. The Chinese navy conducted another legitimate exercise along its coastline. And the Pentagon announced plans concerning cyber defenses and air bases in North Africa.

You see a puzzle here that leads you to conclude the editors of the Wall Street Journal do not know in depth what they talk about. It is that they were immersed in the subject for a while, and they have learned to rattle off a few smart sounding utterances but these are superficial utterances of the Smart Aleck kind.