Sunday, December 28, 2014

Penury is the Father of Resilience

Let it be known that if necessity is the mother of invention, then penury must be the father of resilience. This is most likely what the economic historian of Bret Stephens imagination will be telling her students in the year 2050. You can check on his thinking in this regard by reading: “The Marvel of American Resilience,” his latest column which also came under the subtitle: “Autocrats can always cultivate prodigies. The question is what to do with the remaining 99%.” It was published on December 23, 2014 in the Wall Street Journal.

Stephens started with an idea that is worth exploring but quickly fell into the trap of looking at the world through the lens of politics and jingoism, thus wrote a lousy column. The reality of our world is that no two cultures are the same which is why things happen in one culture before they do in another. And given that some things happen in America before they do in other places, it is worth exploring what America has that others may lack.

The trouble is that our author disabled himself before writing the first sentence by assuming that only “non-autocratic” forms of governance can be home to resilience and innovation. In taking this stance, he dismissed thousands of years of progress in science and technology before what he would call a “liberal democracy” was first established. To justify his thinking, he came up with this bizarre explanation: “Autocracies can cultivate chess champions, piano prodigies and nuclear engineers; [their] quandary is what to do with the remaining 99%. They have no answer, other than administer, dictate and repress.” What on earth does that mean?

Hey Bret, please tell us: who do you think are (or are not) the resilient innovators? Are they the autocratic rulers or the chess champions, the piano players and the nuclear engineers? And while you're at it; who designed and built the pyramids? The pharaohs that used them, or the engineers of their time? Who invented the fireworks, the china and the silk fabrics? Were they the iron-fisted ruling dynasties, or the resilient innovators of their time? And who invented the jet engine and the rocket? Was it Hitler himself or the German engineers of the Nazi era?

Stephens also seems to make a big deal out of the fact that America has gone full speed ahead in the use of fracking. What must be said is that he misses something in this regard … perhaps because, like he says, he “grew up as an American living abroad.” In fact, it was in the year 1973 that the North American Continent feared it was in danger of losing the lifestyle it had grown accustomed to; a fear that was brought about by the oil embargo which the Arabs imposed on America to punish it for coming to the aid of Israel as they were chasing the Jews out of the lands that the latter had been occupying since 1967.

This is when the debate began in earnest about developing the Canadian Tar Sands and the American Shale oil deposits. Research started immediately in order to determine a way to do this, and the result was that the best option was to start with the Tar Sands. As to the development of the Shale Oil deposits, the research never stopped in the States or in Canada. Large numbers of researchers in independent labs as well as government and university labs participated in the effort, and countless papers were written about the progress that was being made – every step of the way. In fact, this is how these things are done.

Now contrast that reality with what a columnist accustomed to fantasy and self-delusion has written. Having never done science, having never participated in the development of technology, having never worked with his hands, Bret Stephens imagines that fracking has appeared on the scene spontaneously by the conversion of the following circumstances: “fracking happened in the U.S. because Americans have property rights to the minerals under their yards. And because the federal government wasn't really paying attention. And because against-the-grain entrepreneurs like George Mitchell and Harold Hamm couldn't be made to bow to the consensus of experts. And because our capital markets were willing to bet against those experts.” Really? This is like watching a high powered pump spewing organic fertilizer onto a field.

Let a teacher in 2050 say something like this to her students, and you can bet that there will be at least one parent who will demand that she be sent to learn what she never did in real life, relying instead, as she does, on the output of an army of lightweight intellects such as those who took control of the so-called think-tanks and the media in the latter part of the Twentieth Century, and gave the Americans what Stephens admits has been: “the wretched state of their schools, the paralyzed nature of their politics, their mounting fiscal burdens and the prediction of impending decline.”

I shall continue to write and publish when the scheduling of my medical requirements will allow it.