Sunday, October 6, 2013

What You See Makes You What You are

When it comes to understanding how culture affects our vision of the world, things cannot get any better than what happened during the past week or so. The New York Times published two articles on the same subject, one written by Vali R. Nasr who is an American of Iranian descent; the other by Thomas L. Friedman who is an American Jew. Nasr wrote: “America Mustn't Be Naïve About Iran” and had it published on October 2, 2013. Friedman wrote: “A Wolf, a Sheep, or What?” and had it published on October 5, 2013. Both discuss the subject of Iran and its place in the grand scheme of things.

When you read the two articles and take a moment to reflect on them, you cannot help but see the situation as a metaphor, something that Friedman starts his article with. The exception is that the metaphor you come up with will be different from what Friedman has in mind. Yours will be to the effect that Nasr is standing and looking down at a map of the World, focusing his vision on the Middle East and trying to assess a geopolitical dimension that is fast evolving. In contrast Friedman is laid back looking at the clouds and trying to make out if what he sees looks like a wolf or a sheep.

Nasr is an empiricist who formulates hypotheses and draws conclusions based on what he observes in real life. Where he sees movement in any of the parts, he formulates a tentative opinion as to where those parts will be in the foreseeable future. In contrast, Friedman is looking at a sky where the clouds could be moving and changing shape but he fails to see any of that. Instead, he has come with a static picture in his head about the cloud being a wolf or a sheep, so he tries to settle in his mind whether it is one or the other.

Knowing what it is that he looks at, and knowing that America is full of people who think like Friedman and make decisions based on a stereotypical vision that is static and that is false, Nasr constructs the thesis that is reflected in the title of his article, and so he warns: America mustn't be naïve about Iran. He is here telling the American negotiators who will soon be sitting with their Iranian counterparts to negotiate a range of issues, that they must not make the mistake of believing Iran is negotiating from a position of weakness.

This leads him to assert that “Iran's diplomatic flexibility should not be mistaken for willingness to surrender. Iran does not see itself as vanquished. Its political system is still the most resilient in the region. It is reveling in a newfound stability.” This being a wide view of how Iran sees itself, the nuclear issue is not even mentioned in passing. Nasr does not see an Iranian leadership that is separate from the population; he sees an Iran that is made of a people and a government, both of which want the same thing for the country in the long run.

Contrast this with the narrow view that is focused on the nuclear issue which Friedman is offering: “North Korea built a nuclear arsenal to protect that regime from threats, It's a foxy survival strategy: a nuclear iron fist that keeps the world at bay and its people isolated and weak … Iran's leadership also sees a nuclear weapon as potential insurance against regime change … But Iran is not North Korea. It can't keep its people isolated indefinitely. In theory, Iran's regime does not have to keep the world out and its people down for Iran to be powerful. But do Iran's leaders accept that theory?”

Nasr dismisses the potential regional rivalries as inconsequential to Iran's evolution for the time being, and asserts that “Iran's main nemesis remains the United States.” And so, to end his presentation, he cautions that “as America approaches talks with Iran, it must not assume that Iran is ready to surrender … Negotiations cannot be based on threatening Iran into submission, but on persuading it to compromise.” As you can see, there is nothing here about a preconceived vision as to what Iran should look like at the end of the process. What the author is saying in effect is this: Let the negotiations begin, and let the natural process take its course.

In sharp contrast to all that, you have what Friedman is offering. He begins this part of his presentation with a quote from Col. Mark Mykleby who admitted: “We've been trying hard to use control dynamics to contain Iran that we've lost sight of the fact...” He then quotes the Iranian-American Abdel Nader Mousacizadeh who said: “If we are sufficiently disabused of our ability to remake countries in our own image, we begin to see Iran as the potential China of the Middle East.”

And so, you may think that Friedman would be inclined to end the presentation with something that approaches what Vali Nasr has come up with. But no, that's not what he says. In fact, he continues to see the world in terms of good guys wearing the white hat, and bad guys wearing the black hat. Here is what he says: “China's leaders are not Boy Scouts either. I remain a skeptic that Iran's regime can generate the consensus to make a similar transition. Secretary of State Kerry has the right attitude: No lifting of sanctions for anything less than the airtight closure to any possible weaponization of Iran's nuclear program.” You accept this as being his opinion, and you're willing to leave it at that.

But that's not where he leaves it. Instead, he goes on to say: “That's the only deal worth having, and the only way Iran will decide if it really is a China in Persian clothing.” That is, he still believes that if Iran does not do as told, it will only become what it is allowed to become regardless of what transpires at the negotiating table.

This shows that Thomas Friedman has learned nothing from the two gentlemen he quoted.

He is who he is because how you see the world determines who and what you are.