Thursday, April 28, 2016

Relax Paul Pillar, Things will turn out okay

Paul R. Pillar is apparently worried that things will turn out badly in Egypt. He wrote “Trouble Brewing in Egypt” to elaborate on his view; and had the article published on April 26, 2016 in The National Interest.

By the time you're done reading the article, you wonder if he is really worried, or if he is contributing to the noise that's generated about Egypt these days so as to promote his own agenda – whatever it may be. You start developing that suspicion the moment that you encounter this passage: “The most worrisome consequence of the regime's harsh policy has been the boost it gives to extremism, including violent extremism in the form of international terrorism.” Aha! It's that thing again. They all seem to have caught the disease.

As a former official of the intelligence apparatus, Pillar knows better than anyone that the ideas contained in that passage are lies. They exist only because they were the most effective tool ever devised by the Judeo-Israeli propaganda machine to mesmerize the American political system; to control it, mobilize the nation and make it serve Israel, always Israel and no one but Israel.

Pillar knows, as do all those in the intelligence business, that the one thing which can provoke Arab anger, is interference in their country's affairs by a foreign power. When the younger crowd senses that something like this is happening, it turns against the foreigners; also turns against the rulers for allowing it to happen. And if the youngsters sense that the rulers are colluding with the foreign powers for whatever reason, they go out of control and turn things ugly for the leaders.

That is how and why the Muslim Brotherhood was created in Egypt in 1928; it is the reason why Ayman al-Zawahiri was involved in the assassination of Anwar Sadat, why he joined UBL's al-Qaeda, why UBL plotted the attack on America, why Hezbollah was created in Lebanon, and why Western-born youngsters turn to terrorist activities in Europe and America. And the irony – the very sad and very bitter irony – that seems to have escaped Paul Pillar is that terrorism is now exported not from the Middle East to Europe or America, but from Europe and America to the Middle East. Figure that out, Paul!

In the same way that all those places are attacked by thrill-seeking youngsters from around the globe for reasons that have nothing to do with the governance of a country, Egypt is being attacked in the Sinai ... a phenomenon that started long ago when the Peninsula was briefly occupied by Israel. The mischief-makers who now come from Europe, America and Asia may have changed their appearance, but that's the nature of terrorism which keeps mutating as it keeps metastasizing. And maybe – just maybe – there is something wrong with the kind of governance that is practiced in Europe, America and Asia. But that's a discussion for another time.

Having gone on for several paragraphs in an attempt to mount a heroic but futile attempt to establish a link between the absolutely minimal terrorist activities that take place in the Sinai Peninsula at the hands of foreign fighters – to the policies by which the Egyptian mainland is governed, Paul Pillar now turns his attention to the relationship that exists between the United States of America and Sisi’s Egypt.

He guesses that Sisi's regime “probably” hopes to quell violent groups the way that Mubarak did more than two decades ago. No, says Pillar, that performance will not do well because Sisi is worse than Mubarak. And he warns that the consequence of Sisi's actions in combating terrorism will be to export that terrorism. To strengthen his argument, Pillar gives the example of al-Zawahiri who left Egypt and joined al-Qaeda. However, instead of strengthening his argument, Pillar demolished it having forgotten that when Zawahiri left Egypt, Sisi was a toddler and not yet President of Egypt.

Unaware of what he just did, and eager to strengthen his argument even more, the author mentions an event that has the effect of burying the already demolished argument. Look at this: “Most recently there have been indications of broader and active even nonviolent, opposition to the Sisi regime. Cairo saw the largest protest demonstration in at least two years”.

Whatever Pillar may think of that event, it can only be seen as evidence that when the people of Egypt do not like something, they demonstrate. They do so in a relatively peaceful manner, and do not get pepper sprayed or shot in the back the way things are done in places that shall remain unmentioned.