Saturday, December 24, 2016

A Krauthammer dishonest Lamentation

Charles Krauthammer is a smart guy, and when he makes a mistake he should have avoided, you know this was not an inadvertent mistake but a 'deliberate mistake', to coin a new oxymoron. 

But why did he choose to make a mistake? He did to write the article that he wrote instead of the one he should have written. Check him out; he wrote this: “Aleppo and American decline,” a column that was published on December 22, 2016 in the Washington Post.

Here is the mistake he made: “During the 1973 Yom Kippur War, Moscow threatened to send troops to support Egypt and President Nixon countered by raising America's nuclear alert status to Defcon 3. Russia stood down.” This is the reverse of what really happened, and Krauthammer knows it. Instead of citing history the way it happened, he delivered a load of hogwash.

What really happened in 1973 was that the Egyptian infantry smashed through the Israeli Bar Lev defense lines in no time at all. Using wire-guided missiles, the foot soldiers then made short work of the Israeli tanks and armored vehicles standing between them and Israel's border. At this point Israel had no choice but to commit the air force and try to replicate what it did in 1967. That was the time when it launched a Pearl Harbor style sneak attack on Egypt, caught most of the Egyptian air force on the ground, and destroyed it.

But that's precisely what the Egyptian High Command was hoping will happen in 1973. As part of their strategy, the Egyptians did not commit the air force to join the attack on Bar Lev. The reason is that while conducting a war of attrition in the Sinai during the period 1967-1973, they were also preparing the home front to trap the Israeli air force by baiting it.

To understand what they did, we need to understand the tactic that Israel used in 1967. While a good part of the Egyptian air force was destroyed on the ground, a few planes were in the air guarding high value ground targets. Israel dealt with these ones by sending a wave of lightly armed fast planes – not to engage them – but to get them to chase after the Israeli planes. While this was playing out, another wave of Israeli bombers (slow planes) loaded with ordnance appeared on the scene and bombed the valued targets with no one to challenge them.

The Israelis used that same tactic in 1973 to the delight of the Egyptians who had done several things to prepare for the moment. First, they left nothing valuable in the target areas that Israel came to bomb. Second, they built a number of small runways in remote locations from where fast fighter planes could take off on short notice. Third, they put planes in the air, pretending to guard the supposedly high value targets on the ground.

When the first wave of Israeli planes came, the Egyptians chased after them. Then came the second wave of Israeli bombers and got busy. While bombing useless targets on the ground, waves of Egyptian fighter planes appeared from every direction. They swarmed the Israeli bombers, and in a matter of hours, brought down what turned out to be a third of Israel's air force.

Golda Meir prepared to commit suicide. Moshe Dayan went berserk and never recovered till he died. But someone called up Washington in the middle of the war and told President Nixon that Israel had enough radio active material to wreak havoc on Egypt by dropping the toxic material in the Nile. The source revealed that the Jews were so desperate; they would carry out the plan unless America came to the rescue.

Nixon agreed to rescue Israel but feared that the Russians might interfere with the effort. Realizing that Russia would have the advantage because of its proximity to the Middle East, Nixon raised the nuclear alert. But this being the time that the Watergate Scandal had drained Nixon of credibility (some said his sanity too), the Secretary of Defense, James Schlesinger, worried he might do something rash. And so, he issued an order to the military brass telling them not to obey any order from the commander in chief before checking with him first.

Had Krauthammer told this story the way it happened, he would have had to reveal it was the brass at the Pentagon that told Obama to stand down because they knew what will happen if ordered to attack Syria. In fact, a recent event has demonstrated the reality of what they knew.

Do you remember the fires that raged in Israel not long ago? They tell the story of an Israel that has practically no civil defense apparatus to protect its population in the face of a large scale calamity.

Surrounded by half a million rockets, some of which carrying chemical warheads, would have turned Israel from end to end – not into a battlefield – but a national scene of carnage and agony. The unlucky ones who might have escaped death would not be walking on their feet but dying a horrible death with no one to help them.

Had America attacked Syria, Assad would have committed everything he had to take Israel down with him. And the Pentagon would have been put in charge of cleaning up what can never be cleaned up.

The military brass did not want to find themselves in a situation such as this, thus added their voice to those who advised Obama to stand down. And the world is better off for it.