Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Ramadi on everyone's Mind

Everyone understands the lesson in economics which says that when demand for an item increases, so does its value – which is why its price rises.

Well, that same principle also applies in the field of publicity. For example, if you give unlimited exposure to someone who is running for office, he moves to the front of the pack no matter what he says or does.

Unfortunately, the same thing can also happen in reverse. That is, the more bad publicity you give to someone, the more you'll hurt his chances to succeed in what he's doing. This is especially true if what he's doing depends on the moral support of the people you are reaching with your publicity drive.

However, despite the fact that bad publicity was heaped on President Obama – who is the commander-in-chief of America's armed forces – for saying that his quiet and steady strategy was working in the Levant, that strategy has succeeded. In fact, it has been winning for some time now against an enemy that lost almost half the land it had captured when it launched a surprise blitz in Syria and Iraq a while ago. And yet again, the Obama strategy won a big one when the Iraqi forces took back the city of Ramadi.

For the first time, the people (call them critics) who were giving Mr. Obama the bad publicity he did not deserve, are now acknowledging that the campaign against the Islamic State in Syria and the Levant (ISIL) is working as the chief described it. The sad part, however, is that those critics have only acknowledged the latest success without coupling their acknowledgment with a change in their thinking or their behavior.

You can see all that in two editorials that were published on December 29, 2015. One came in the Wall Street Journal under the title: “The Retaking of Ramadi” and the subtitle: “The victory has lessons for the battles for Mosul – and Syria.” The other came in the New York Daily News under the title: “One battle won” and the subtitle: “What the retaking of Ramadi means for the long struggle to defeat ISIS.”

The thing that should raise your eyebrow and make you want to scratch your head, is that you bump into the same old themes when reading those editorials. You encounter the following passage in the Wall Street Journal: “We're paying a price for the Obama Administration's long failure to train and arm...,” and you encounter the following passage in the New York Daily News: “The coalition that has punished ISIS from the air – too cautiously at times, thanks to President Obama's hesitant command...” They use different words but their message is the same.

There is no doubt that the motivation behind that child-like behavior is the naked attempt to diminish the value of Mr. Obama's stock in the eyes of an electorate that is wooed in this election season by his Democratic Party and by an opposing Republican Party which happens to be supported both by the Wall Street Journal and the New York Daily News.

The problem, however, is the fact that information of any kind that's pushed into the public domain is consumed not only by the American electorate but also various groups the world over. In fact, everywhere on the Planet, people see that information and hear it, including groups such as the Sunny Arabs who are needed by America's military to maintain the gains it has made. Note also that the Americans made those gains fighting against ISIS, not alone but shoulder to shoulder with their Iraqi comrades.

The information that's in the public domain is also seen and heard by an enemy that knows how to use it to improve its own military performance and messaging effort. The net result is that the people who criticize the Obama administration for not doing enough to defeat ISIS are the very people who undermine his effort. They do this much damage by providing moral aid and comfort to the enemy, and by providing him with propaganda material he can use to woo new recruits.

And that's not all that is negative as we can see by another nefarious message that's articulated in both editorials. The Wall Street Journal says this: “The motive behind the coalition is to fill the vacuum left by the lack of confidence in Obama.” The New York Daily News quotes someone saying: “the Islamic State is winning the battle for the hearts and minds in areas under its control.” It looks like the Islamic State owes a great deal to people like the editors of those two publications.