Sunday, July 10, 2022

They just cannot let go of the Iran question

 Can you make someone love you by making them fear and hate your chosen enemy of the day? This question was tackled in articles written by two soulmates that have nothing more in common between them than there is between a snake and a snake-eating meerkat.

 

Both Abraham Wagner who is an American Jew, and Farhad Rezaei who is of Muslim-Iranian descent have concurred as to the need for America to interfere in the evolution of Middle Eastern history lest an Iran that’s left alone pull ahead and become a dominant power in the region.

 

To make his point, Abraham Wagner wrote: “Biden’s Plan B for Iran,” an article that also came under the subtitle: “Regional scrambling in the wake of failure.” It was published on July 8, 2022 in the Washington Times.

 

As to Farhad Rezaei’s article, it came under the title: “Will Biden’s Trip Launch a ‘Middle East NATO’?” and the subtitle: “President Joe Biden’s upcoming trip to the Middle East may be the most consequential of his tenure.” It was published on July 9, 2022 in the National Interest.

 

To explain his point of view, Abraham Wagner took the approach that the current American President Joe Biden has failed in everything he tried so far. For this reason, says Wagner, it behooves him to catch a golden opportunity that blew his way and make the best of it so as to repair the damage he caused his tenure. The opportunity is giving him the chance to bring Arabs and Jews into a military alliance that will frustrate Iran’s ambitions for the region, and he should seize it in Wagner’s view.

 

As to Farhad Rezaei who belongs to groups loyal to the long ousted Shah of Iran, and want to see America help reverse the gains scored by the Islamic Revolution’s series of successes, he wants to see America work on coalescing the Arabs and the Jews into a NATO-like military organization that will commit itself to the destruction of the Mullah’s regime in Iran.

 

Will this work or will it remain a pipe dream for as long as it is dreamed up? To answer this question, consider the following realities which, among other things, speak of the dominant Arab traits that will make it hard if not impossible to turn the losers of the old Iranian regime into winners:

 

One — it is the nature of the Arabs not to come together in anger to fight a stranger who may or may not have hurt them previously. This was shown by the fact that the Anglo-American dream of coalescing the Arabs into a Baghdad Pact, has failed only months after its formation. Paradoxically, the Arabs would come together to discipline one of their own if and when he violates the code of conduct they drew up for themselves. The best example of that, was the Arab response to Saddam Hussein’s invasion of Kuwait.

 

Two — Despite that nature, which governs the Arab response to provocations, these people can still be gripped by the sense of “Blood is thicker than water,” thus stick together and defend one of their own when he is undeservedly threatened by a powerful force. This was shown by the fact that when the oil-rich countries discovered the reality that America was fueling its military with their oil to help Israel fight against an Egypt that was busy liberating the Sinai from an occupation that had lasted 6 years.

 

Three — the Arabs who are known to be the most accommodating hosts – a trait that was acquired over the centuries by the nature of their living conditions in the desert – do also display an acute sense for accommodating the exploration of new ideas. This was proven true throughout history when the Arab nomadic traders became the catalysts that fertilized Europe by seeding it with Oriental innovations, and fertilized the Orient by seeding it with European innovations.

 

When you take all of that into account, and read the Abraham Wagner article a second time, you cannot help but conclude that his thesis is standing on shaky ground. This being the case, you cannot shake the idea that the plan he proposes as Plan B, is nothing more than a pipe dream. The following are the passages in the article that show possible violations of the Arab character:

 

“Mr. Biden needs to focus on a new strategy — a Plan B for dealing with the Iranians, which many believe will be a regional security alliance with the US including Israel, Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States. This would involve greater coordination among the members, including intelligence, early warning and common responses to possible attacks from Iran and its proxies throughout the region. Joint deployment for such strategic challenges in the Middle East was at the center of a scenario used in an Israeli military exercise during May. The IDF exercise shows that there is a wide field here for cooperative efforts — opening of emergency depots; intelligence sharing; and the establishment of a regional air defense system which the US wants to upgrade through a broader regional initiative. This potential alliance became clear that military coordination with the US had to be upgraded, and expanded to include allied Arab nations. A new military alliance must focus on countering Iranian ballistic missiles and drones as well as support for terrorist proxies. Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates all need to be part of this alliance. Operationally this would involve the deployment of Israeli radar in these Arab countries; intelligence cooperation; and early warning of the launching of Iranian missiles and drones and their interception. This is in the interest of Israel and the Arab countries. US involvement is also important due to the large number of military forces in the region, where American bases are in danger of attack”.

 

As to Farhad Rezaei, whose culture is so close to that of the Arabs, he did not repeat the mistakes that were made by the Jew. What he did, however, was allow the fantasies that were pumped into his head since early childhood, infect his judgment. Thus, instead of presenting a sober view of what may realistically unfold in the near future, he described the invented situations that define the pipe dream he lives by. The following are the passages in the article that show these realities:

 

“The Abraham Accords have generated a preliminary security infrastructure to counter the destabilizing activities of the Islamist regime in Iran. They made it easier for Israel and Arab countries to coordinate militarily, notably to create a regional air defense alliance, the ‘Middle East Air Defense Alliance’ (MEAD), to counter threats from Iran’s ballistic missiles and drones and the threats from Hezbollah, the Houthis, and the pro-Iranian Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) in Iraq. According to Israeli officials, the program is already operative and has intercepted multiple Iranian attacks against Israel and other countries, including in one instance where it shot down an Iranian drone fired from Iraq toward Israel. Saudi Arabia is not part of MEAD, but the kingdom has been vulnerable to attacks by the Yemeni Houthis, which used Iranian-supplied ballistic missiles and drones to sabotage its oil facilities. Turkey, whose relations with Israel were strained for over a decade, has changed course. Israel’s role in the evolving ‘regional NATO’ has been complemented by its rising profile. China, Russia, and Iran have already conducted several joint military exercises in Persian Gulf waters to challenge the US presence in the region. China is said to have acquired rights to the strategic island of Kish and built a naval facility in Bandar Jask, not too far from the American base in Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean. Iran was accepted as a full member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO). Iran has also used the Chinese-run Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), an alternative to SWIFT. Iran’s push to become a breakout nuclear power is of major concern. China has helped Iran evade sanctions by buying its oil. The Houthis and the PMF have used drones and are predicted to increase their missile and drone activity. The United States has vital interests in the Middle East. A void created because of the US pivot to Europe and Asia needs to be filled by a new regional alliance. Washington officials understand this and have worked to push for normalization between Saudi Arabia and Israel. It has been reported that the Americans have sponsored a meeting of senior defense officials from Israel and Saudi Arabia in Egypt. It is expected that during his visit, Biden will discuss the ‘vision for integrated missile defense and naval defense.’ A formal Middle East NATO should not be too far behind”.

 

Either way, this is a case of a blind trying to lead the other blind to the gates of an impossible nirvana, but taking him instead to the gates of hell which they are about to open, thus unleash horrors on humanity we cannot even begin to comprehend.