Tuesday, December 29, 2020

The Donut-shaped Logic of Foreign Policy

 Since antiquity, people of the Stone Age considered the sphere to be the most perfect shape in existence. Thousands of years later, at the end of the Dark Ages, science and astronomy had so advanced, people understood that the moon, the earth, the sun, the stars and the wanderers (planets) were spheres, and this confirmed to them that the sphere was indeed the most perfect shape in existence.

 

Officially, there was no runner-up to the sphere but when the wheel was invented, it certainly qualified to be second to the sphere in the beauty contest of attractive shapes. After all, the wheel contributed so much to the advancement of science and technology, we could not have a ball today were it not for the cars having wheels to move us around at a faster speed than the horse.

 

But to the people of Holland in Europe, the shape of the wheel pointed to something else. Made of wheat and sugar, it was something yummy to have for breakfast, and for snacks throughout the day by those who did not worry about their weight. We're talking about the donut. As it happens, donuts come in different shapes, but the one that takes the prize is the wheel-shaped donut with a whole in the middle.

 

But let's not get carried away talking about the qualities of the donut. In fact, an edible donut with a hole in the middle may be something tasty that pleases the palate, but the shape is not appreciated when it is duplicated in other places. For example, there was a time when a debate erupted about a health insurance plan that looked like a donut with a hole in the middle, and some people did not like it. Something similar is beginning to shape today, and the guess is that some people will not like it when a full debate will have become the order of the day.

 

You can see what that is when you read the article that came under the title: “To Balance China, Joe Biden Should Build Upon Trump's India Strategy,” written by Patrick Mendis and Antonina Luszczykiewicz, and published on December 27, 2020 in The National Interest.

 

As suggested by the title, the debate just started concerns America's relationship with at least two Asian nations: China and India. The point the authors of the article are making, is that China has become a belligerent country, threatening not only America but the Southeast Asian countries as well. The writers inform the readers that while aware of this reality, a number of Asian countries and the United States have come together to stand up to the illegitimate aspiration that China has with regard to the region.

 

Patrick Mendis and Antonina Luszczykiewicz point to the fact that in addition to that burgeoning multilateral relationship, America is deepening its bilateral relationship with India to unprecedented levels. They welcome the move, and offer an idea as to what else can be done in this area of foreign policy. Simply put, they say that America should play India against China, thus contain China's expansion and check what it tries to accomplish. And this is where you see the hole of doom in the donut of tasteless foreign policy.

 

Look how Mendis and Luszczykiewicz began discussing that last point: “With its new US military alliance, India has finally removed the mask of 'non-aligned' foreign policy which it has nominally employed since independence in 1947.” To utter these words with such assertiveness indicates that the writers have no idea what enormous mistake they just committed. What they and America need to know is the following:

 

When during the Cold War, there were two superpowers: The United States and the Soviet Union, each worked to attract as many nations to their side as possible. They were to be allies, but also subordinate satellites orbiting one or the other dominant power. A number of nations, including India, said they were too proud to go into someone's orbit, thus formed the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM,) guaranteeing to themselves the freedom to act in the best interest of their people without someone pulling their strings. Note that this happened at a time when India and its friends in the Movement were backward Third World Nations.

 

Today, India views itself as a superpower that may or may not welcome satellites in orbit around it. But to speak of it as a subordinate that'll be happy to enter into orbit around America, is to be blind to the progress that India has accomplished so far. Worse, it is to insult its current status as a superpower in waiting, one that will soon stand shoulder to shoulder with China, and be ahead of the United States, Russia, Japan and everyone else. If anything, it will be the United States that will petition to go into orbit around India.

 

But that game will cease to be played in the future because a worldwide new regime will replace it. You can see the new order take shape right now as Asia and Africa are coming together with Europe to make it happen. You can also see it progress with China and Russia coming together to protect it from America's declared intention to disrupt it.

 

Sooner or later, the world will cease to look like a schoolyard with adolescent boys competing for the title of most disruptive bully.

 

The world will mature, and will be governed like a well-run corporation with 200 or so independent divisions working in harmony with each other in the service of all humankind.