Monday, August 15, 2016

No Ditch is big enough to take-in this Deal

John Bolton is after “Ditching the Iran nuclear deal,” which is the title of his newest article, published on August 13, 2016 in the Pittsburgh Tribune. The trouble is that the deal is too big and too important to be ditched. You might say there isn't a ditch big enough to take it in and hide it.

Like everyone of his ilk, Bolton has criticized the deal while it was being negotiated and after it was signed, sealed and delivered. All the points that could be made for and against it were made, but the deal survived because it proved to be necessary for the welfare of the planet and the survival of the human race. That's a levelheaded humanity that was well represented at the negotiating table.

So then, what can a Johnny-come-lately that has come before and put down a whole bunch of eggs and duds, say this time that will be new and a welcome addition to the debate? Nothing really, but John Bolton convinced himself he has the goods, and he can deliver. To this end, he uses the transfer of money to Iran as a springboard to launch a new attack on the nuclear deal. Knowing that the transfer has been haggled over to death already, he derogates past objections to it so as to make his new objection to the nuclear deal sound formidable by comparison. Look how he does that:

“Obama's transfer to Iran of $400 million highlights the errors infecting his policy regarding Tehran … Humiliating though it was, the real lessons of the payment are even broader. Obama's view of the world – and America's place in it – is fundamentally flawed, as is that of Hillary Clinton. To avoid further harm to the United States, we should start by abrogating the Vienna nuclear agreement”.

Did you notice something odd in that passage? Bolton stealthily injected the name Hillary Clinton into the discussion. In fact, as you go through the rest of the article, you realize that his conception of it is to carry on with a local political discourse where the electorate, in this election year, is polarized and sharply divided. Meanwhile he pretends to conduct a foreign policy discourse where the electorate can be swayed by someone reputed to be a foreign policy wonk. This is like selling a Cadillac equipped with the motor of a Chevrolet.

It turns out, however, that Bolton could not carry on with a foreign policy discussion without rehashing the negative talking points that were made previously with regard to the nation of Iran; to the nuclear deal that was concluded with it, and the transfer of money that was made to it. He does all that and does something else too. He weaves into his narrative the domestic subplot pertaining to Hillary Clinton.

He fires the shot that signals the start of the subplot with this: “Trump has criticized Obama's deal with Iran, while Hillary Clinton has strongly supported it, appropriately enough since its basic foundations were laid when she was at state … the ayatollahs, aware that the deal is beneficial to them, are worried. Khamenei has complained that 'candidates in the American election are threatening to tear up the nuclear deal. If they do we will burn it.'”

Wait a minute. Does that look like a worried complaint by Khamenei? It is obvious that John Bolton is deficient in his understanding of the culture he discusses. What Khamenei did, in effect, is the equivalent of the Western “doubling down.” Actually, it is more than that because when you go from tearing up the deal to burning it, you escalate. Bolton would have understood this much if he knew of the Middle Eastern saying that goes: If you sprinkle us with water, we'll sprinkle you with blood. Going from tear-up to burn is like going from water to blood.

No, the Iranians are not scared; what they did is call Trump's bluff – which to them represents America's bluff. Talking about America being humiliated for returning the money it owes Iran rather than do what common thieves do and keep it, the question is this: What does Bolton think of a bluff that will leave America with the choice of surrendering or starting a war it cannot win? In the long run, this bluff will backfire on America.

Here again is a John Bolton who has no understanding of the culture he's talking about, denigrating a Clinton observation with these words: “Does she think the Guards Corps sit around contemplating this question?” He goes on to posit that “Rouhani would never have been elected had not Khamenei considered him a trustworthy subordinate.” This done, he finally reveals what his article is all about:

“Eight years of Obama has been damaging and dangerous to the U.S. We don't need a third Obama term.” Sorry John; once again you failed to make a case.