Tuesday, February 19, 2019

The Choice to make between War and Peace

Deception plays a big part in the conduct of a war. If you use a well-planned deceptive trick once, you can win big. But if you repeat the same trick on the enemy you have targeted previously, the chances are good that the enemy will be prepared, and will make the deception backfire on you.

Deceptive or not, another way that you can fall victim to your war tactics, is to talk about them openly and then use them against someone. The chances are good that before your next attack, the enemy will have set-up an ambush, and sat waiting for you. The moment that his forces will spot your forces, they'll open fire from all directions and decimate your forces before the latter realize what hit them.

But why would someone be so careless as to use the same deceptive tricks on the same target more than once? Or use tactics he discussed openly, on someone that was listening? The answer to those questions can be given in one word: arrogance.

There was a time when the gap between the power of those that had it, and those that sought it — called asymmetry — was so wide, the first could pull a trick, brag about it and pull it again without suffering any serious consequence. And then someone named Molotov found a cheap way to narrow that gap. He filled a bottle with gasoline, stuffed a piece of cloth in its mouth, lit the cloth and hurled the bottle at the enemy. The concoction worked as an effective weapon, and was called Molotov cocktail. It became a weapon that anyone can produce cheaply and use as an incendiary hand grenade.

Much has happened since that time to level the playing field between those that have access to the most sophisticated weapons, and those that don't. The asymmetric gap has narrowed so much that an advanced army using tanks, for example, cannot be certain it will prevail in a ground battle against a primitive force that uses improvised explosive devices. However, an advanced military still has a small edge when it comes to air power, but the gap is narrowing there too.

The new realities have created problems for the United States of America, the power that still wants to act as policeman of the world. Warned in Korea that the glory days of the Second World War were over, the lesson was not heeded by America. The lesson became hard to deny in Vietnam, but America still kept itself in the denial mode. America then tried its hand a few more times in Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia and elsewhere in Africa where it went to kick asses but got its own ass kicked … not once but again and again.

You would think that after all this, no amount of incitement will again persuade America to get involved in a war that's none of its business, but you would be wrong. Two articles illustrate the points discussed above, also show that America has not fully digested the lessons of the past. One article came under the title: “How the US might stay in Syria, and leave at the same time,” written by David Ignatius, and published on February 25, 2019 in The Washington Post. The other article came under the title: “Wars ending badly,” written by Jed Babbin, and published on February 17, 2019 in The Washington Times.

In a screaming display of the moronic state to which the so-called democracies have fallen, David Ignatius is showing how the democratic poison, known as “trying to have it both ways”, is eating at America's internal organs. Look what comes in the first paragraph of the Ignatius article: Is there a way for the US and allies to remain in Syria and leave at the same time? Officials are struggling to devise a workaround strategy, but it could carry more risks than maintaining the status quo.

Ignatius goes on to discuss the various elements of that strategy, much of which consist of trying to deceive the enemy, using tactics that were used previously — or using strategies that were discussed publicly. Being in the group that wants America to remain in the Middle East and protect Israel's mischievous conduct, David Ignatius ended the article with this advice: The best course would be for Trump simply to acknowledge that his earlier decision to withdraw from Syria was unwise and reverse it.

Would that be wise? Apparently not according to Jed Babbin who looks at America's involvement in foreign wars through the lens of the Vietnam humiliation. Here is what he says:

“The United States and the Taliban have agreed in principle to a roadmap for peace … The Taliban's intentions mirror those of the North Vietnamese at the end of the war … The accord supposedly preserved South Vietnam's right to self-determination. But the North attacked and conquered the South anyway ... In Iraq and Syria, the prospects for peace are not any better … The result of the Afghan War will be the same as that of Vietnam whose lesson isn't that a better approach to nation-building could make it successful”.

Having tried everything else and failed, America is left with one more choice to make: Stay home and don't bother anyone so that no one will want to bother you. It is as simple as that; it is that easy to implement.