Friday, November 25, 2022

Advising burnouts who lose their magic touch

 Although there has never been a formal definition of the work that advisers do, the worth of the job undertaken by these people when completed, is rated for the value it has added to an existing situation.

 

When an adviser repeatedly gives the kind of advice that helps their client do well, he/she is sought after and showered with requests for advice of all kinds. And there lies the problem.

 

It is that nobody can be an expert in everything, a reality that a client who is desperate for answers, fails to appreciate, thus insists on getting some kind of advice for which they pay top dollars. And this proves to be enough of an incentive for the advisers to give guidance they know will turn out to be at best partially useful.

 

While scenarios like the one above contribute to the models which erode the level of confidence people have in expert advice, other scenarios also play roles that diminish the value of such advice. As expected, most of these would be related to greed and the desire to get rich quickly. Add to this the role of charlatans who are bereft of any level of expertise, yet give out advice in every field and charge enormous sums for them.

 

And then there is a category of advisers that should be viewed as having a “double edged sword” kind of quality. One such adviser recently wrote an article that came under the title: “What to do about China in the next Congress,” and the subtitle: “The GOP must work to end US investor funding of Chinese companies.” It was written by Robby Stephany Saunders, and published on November 22, 2022 in The Washington Times.

 

Having served as senior adviser at State, the Senate and the House of Representatives, and now serving as adviser at the Coalition for a Prosperous America, Robby Saunders certainly has the credentials that give weight to her advice. So the question that should preoccupy the people who think about the big issues of he day, is this: What if Robby Saunders were wrong? After all, she is human and fallible like the rest of us. Will there be someone who’ll risk destroying their reputation by contradicting what she says?

 

The most likely answer to the above question is that there will be no one willing to contradict her, even if they see that she is clearly advising inadequate or false solutions. So then, what does that do to the pool of advisers who are supposed to maintain the nation on the path of ironclad security and high prosperity?

 

The answer is that to feel protected and secure in their jobs, they copy from each other, thus develop a kind of groupthink that weakens the system, and leaves the nation vulnerable security-wise as well as uncertain economically. Not only do the stars of such grouping — Robby Saunders being an example — tolerate such behavior, they encourage it because it protects them too from the Young Turks who might decide at some point to challenge their supremacy.

 

Are there signs that something to that effect, are beginning to show in the Robby Saunders article? The answer is yes, there are such signs. In fact, what follows is the condensed version of excerpts that show how it is happening:

 

“Essentially, the GOP must pursue a commonsense approach to China that includes elements of both Reagan’s ‘peace through strength’ policy and the ‘America First’ goals of the recent Trump administration. That starts with recognizing how normalized trade with Beijing failed to produce the prosperity, democratic values and open society in China that many free traders had promised. To counter this, Congress must tackle Beijing’s access to US financial markets, including passive investment products such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds. This is a key means by which Beijing continually funnels billions of American investment dollars to Chinese companies”.

 

What better way is there to start a group that thinks alike in the belief they’ll all become as good as the combined wisdom of Ronald Reagan and the daring-do of Donald Trump? But the question remains: What did that wisdom and that daring-do accomplish? Well, you don’t have to go far to find the answer to that question. Saunders herself has supplied it. Here it is: “That starts with recognizing how normalized trade with Beijing failed to produce the prosperity, democratic values and open society in China that many free traders had promised”. It was failure, she says.

 

What she is saying here, is that America’s approach to rallying the world around it by democratizing the nations of the globe politically and economically, has been a dismal failure. So then, what to do now? Robby Saunders has the answer to that question. She says America must reverse the conciliatory attitude toward China that the free traders had advocated.

 

She concentrates her attention on what happens on Wall Street. She points out that numerous Chinese companies trade on the American stock exchanges, which allows Beijing to “continually funnel billions of American investment dollars to Chinese companies.” And so, she calls on the Congress to pass legislation instructing the FRTIB to remove Chinese firms from at least the investments of federal workers, military families, veterans and members of Congress.

 

But would that be a wise thing to do? The answer is no, it would not be wise because it is based on a fundamental misunderstanding of how investment works, and what it accomplishes. The problem with the Saunders view is that she confuses between two situations. First, there are the private companies which may be large or small, and owned by an individual, a family or a limited number of partners. Second, there are the publicly traded companies, which are richly capitalized, and owned by a large number of investors.

 

What happened at the start of globalization, is that the private companies were the ones to close up shop in America and restart in China. There were even instances when wealthy individuals bought a publicly traded company outright and took it private before moving it to China. Why is that? Because were the company still public, the public outcry would have been so loud, the move to China could not be done.

 

What this says, is that a domestic or foreign company that’s traded publicly in America guarantees that millions of eyes are watching it, making sure it is operating in the interest of America. For Robby Saunders to be paranoid about it, is to harm the American interest believing it is serving it.

 

Robby Saunders needs to take a long vacation to recharge her batteries.