Wednesday, August 16, 2017

Small Price now better than big Dishonor later

How was it possible for a single Lilliputian to challenge Gulliver and score a draw? It was possible because Gulliver wasn't really Gulliver but Samson in disguise. As to the Lilliputian, he wasn't really a Lilliputian but Delilah in disguise. The secret of Samson's strength being hidden in his hair, when Delilah cut that hair while he was asleep, she took away his strength, turning him into a regular commoner.

No nation on earth can be thought of as a genuine Gulliver that will never lose its strength. But like Samson, all nations start from humble beginnings and grow strong with time. Some will grow big enough and strong enough to become a giant. If not careful, however, these nations will be challenged by one or more small entities thus start a process that will unravel their aura of invincibility. They will be reduced, and they will continue to diminish till they become a shadow of their former selves.

As it happened to the empires of ancient and modern times, superpower America sees itself challenged by North Korea, one of the smallest Lilliputians on Earth. The little one dared to challenge the giant because America overextended itself to play a self-assigned role that most earthlings consider pointless and unnecessary.

Moreover, what appears to be a self-assigned role is in reality an idea that was planted in America's head by a previous giant named Britain, while on her deathbed. Doing the moral equivalent of cutting Samson's hair, Britain whispered false stories and elements of demagoguery in the ear of the rising American giant about a mysterious neighbor named Soviet Union that's wrapped inside an enigma, and bent on doing harm to it and to all its allies. This began the process of America's over-extension and its ultimate demise.

What will come next can only be the inevitable. Like the force of gravity that cannot be neutralized, America is destined to keep going down in relation to its rivals. However, the good news is that while going down, America can still choose one of two paths. One path will humble it without humiliating it; the other will humiliate it by dragging it into scenes of absolute disgrace.

Despite this apparent gloom, consider it that America is lucky to have a number of people giving it good advice. Two of those are Jim Mattis, its Secretary of Defense and Rex Tillerson, its Secretary of State. They co-wrote: “We're Holding Pyongyang to account,” an article that also came under the subtitle: “The U.S., its allies and the world are united in our pursuit of a denuclearized Korean Peninsula.” It was published on August 14, 2017 in the Wall Street Journal.

A day before that, Robert Kelly had published an article that came under the title: “We can live with a nuclear North Korea,” and the subtitle: “There's frankly no sane alternative.” It was published on August 13, 2017 in the New York Daily News.

What makes the Mattis and Tillerson approach a good one is that they avoid sounding like the giant that's indignant he is being challenged by a little nobody. Instead, they talk to North Korea in a tone that sounds like athletes from a big country inviting athletes from a smaller country to come to the stadium and play a friendly match. Here is the relevant passage in their article:

“The U.S. is willing to negotiate with Pyongyang … It is incumbent upon the regime to signal its desire to negotiate in good faith. An indication would be the cessation of threats, nuclear tests, missile launches and other weapons tests”.

And what makes the Robert Kelly advice a good one is that the author sees history not simply as a series of events that follow each other, but a chain of causes and effects that tie the present to the past, and pave the way for what may happen in the future. Here is the relevant passage in his article:

“It is worth observing that the US has learned to live with other countries' nuclear weapons and missiles without a war … The US has the best military, and it is tempting to use that leverage … but North Korea has capabilities to do great damage to our allies in the region … they could potentially kill hundreds of thousands in Seoul … Were China to enter the war, Americans and Chinese shooting at each other could spiral into a regional or global conflict, sucking in Russia and Japan”.

It is clear, therefore that the best course for America to take, is to continue pursuing a peaceful path while imposing humility on itself, rather than swagger its way into a war that will allow someone else to impose humiliation on it more than Vietnam did almost a half century ago.