Sunday, June 30, 2019

A Shift in strategic Thinking is called for

After their humiliating defeat in Vietnam, the Americans vowed never again to engage in an Asian war –– at least not a ground war. And then, they did just that in Afghanistan.

Eighteen years later and still fighting in Afghanistan, the Americans remember why they made that vow. But it is too late for remorse at this time because the Americans have their hands full grappling with the classic dilemma of being unable to continue with the war and yet unable to end it and leave Afghanistan.

And that wasn't the only time the Americans got involved in an Asian war after Vietnam. They were tricked by the Fifth Columnists in their midst to believe that what drew them into Eastern Asia, lives in Western Asia as well; in a place called Iraq. And so, the Americans went into Iraq, and from there got sucked into Syria. Now entrenched in the quagmire of the Levant, the Americans find themselves unable to continue with the war and yet unable to end it and leave the region.

That begs the obvious question: What's the problem with these Americans? The problem is that they do not trust their own judgment. If someone approaches them as a friend and whispers slanderous stories about someone else, the Americans pick up their guns without giving the matter a moment's thought and go after that someone else. This is how Winston Churchill of Britain got them involved in Vietnam; it is how the Jewish Fifth Columnists got them involved in the Levant. And the story does not end here.

Even though the Americans were not defeated in Iraq or Syria the way they were in Vietnam, or the way they were militarily eroded in Afghanistan, they caused the region to convulse so badly, the reverberations in the region and Europe will be felt for centuries to come. Also lurking in the shadow, is a next phase that is itching to explode like no one can imagine at this time.

The next phase of what's awaiting the Americans, involves both Eastern Asia where the Korean situation is brewing, and Western Asia where the Iran situation came to within ten minutes from exploding. It cooled off for now but without settling any of the underlying problems. Two recent articles, one about Iran and one about Korea, deal with America's current situations in foreign policy.

The article about Iran came under the title: “Iran and the dangers of 'proportionalism,'” written by Gary Anderson and published on June 24, 2019 in The Washington Times. As to the article about Korea, it came under the title: “At the G-20, Trump Should Be Wary of China's North Korean Designs,” and the subtitle: “Washington should clearly support its ally Seoul while also finding a way forward with Beijing and Pyongyang,” written by Bruce Klingner and published on June 28, 2019 in the National Interest.

Gary Anderson tells the story of things getting so murky between the United States and Iran, the latter shot down an American unmanned drone. President Trump decided to respond militarily but then aborted the mission ten minutes before it started. Anderson goes on to warn that: “So far no blood has yet been spilled; but once it has, wars tend to mutate in ways the people that started them did not anticipate.” And he ends the discussion with the suggestion that, “There is still a chance the Trump administration can achieve acceptable results if it does not get ideologically intransigent … in what has become a very dangerous game”.

As to Bruce Klingner, he tells the story of an America that used to think it was engaged in the majestic project of protecting the world from the evil intent of the unprincipled others. And then, the following happened:

“First came Trump's call that other nations should reimburse the US for protecting maritime transit through the Hormuz strait. He also said that if we're attacked, Japan doesn't have to help us. He is demanding for exponential increases in Seoul's reimbursement for stationing US forces there. This year's demands for a 100 percent increase or even cost plus 50 percent”.

If you're an American that doesn't understand the implications of the country turning its military into a mercenary army for hire, here is a fictional story that will convey to you the sense of what the real people of other cultures are beginning to think of America:

An attractive young woman inherits a huge sum of money. She decides to lead the good life and have all the fun she can get. She notices it's more fun having sex with men who are so unfortunate, they never dreamed having sex with someone of her stature; so she stays with this kind of men. But time moves on, and she notices she is getting older and less attractive. She is also running out of money and beginning to worry. So, she turns into a prostitute for hire, and starts going after rich men.

That's why Bruce Klingner ends his article with this lamentation:

“Trump must carefully balance action against China, Iran and North Korea with affirming strong support for US allies and maintaining forces in the regions. That's no small challenge. His messaging to date has often undercut coherent US policies”.

A shift of this kind is doing America no good. What's needed is a fundamental shift in strategic thinking. That is, heed this admonishment, America: Stay home and mind your business. People around the world are beginning to think you're carrying a terminal kind of diplomatic venereal disease. And they want you out of their neighborhoods –– Now.