Saturday, May 28, 2016

He straightens out the Circle into an Arrow

Charles Krauthammer has an intriguing theory about the unfolding of history, but messed it up when he tried to expand on it. This happened because he let his political preferences get in the way.

He wrote “The arrow of history,” a column that was published on May 26, 2016 in the Washington Post. The piece seems to begin smartly, though we notice that the seeds of its future demise were already sown right there at the start. We see them grow larger the deeper we burrow into the article, such that by the time we reach the middle, we discover that the theory had succumbed to their weight.

It is obvious that the objective of the author from the start had been to draw a distinction between the political Left and the political Right using a device known as analogy to help him illustrate his point. This is a legitimate course to take, but where he went wrong is in the fact that he overused the device. He did so by creating several layers of analogies that confused his message rather than clarify it.

The problem is that Krauthammer constructed his piece on several levels that did not interweave too well. On one level, he drew a parallel between idealism and realism. Layered on top of it is a parallel between optimism and pessimism. Layered on top of that is a parallel between the cyclical nature of history and its directional nature. And finally, layered on top of that is a parallel between the liberal viewpoint and the conservative one.

Having argued that to conservatives: “history is an endless cycle of clashing power politics ... the best we can do is defend ourselves ... expect no alteration in the course of human affairs,” he sets out to contrast these sayings with the liberal stance – that which he says aspires for “something more humane and hopeful.” But that's where Krauthammer balks because he is a neoconservative, and he just made the liberal stance sound loftier than that of the conservatives. What to do now? There was only one thing he could think of: correct history.

This is how he does it: “What is usually overlooked is that this hopefulness for achieving a higher plane of global comity comes in two flavors – one liberal, one conservative.” Alas, this is where the readers become confused. They do because the author has just demolished the notion of history being “an endless cycle, promising no alteration in human affairs”.

To repair the damage and make his theory work again, Krauthammer is compelled to go beyond correcting history – he distorts it, even mutilates it. His new objective being to avoid creating the impression that the liberals are fixing the world whereas the conservatives are hunkering down in fortress America, he invokes the already circulating mother of all lies, and liens against it for support. Here it is: “Because in the end, democracies are inherently more inclined to live in peace.” And this is a falsehood that goes beyond grotesque.

The truth is that no one can wage a sustained war without the support of the population he governs unless he is a Third World tinpot dictator that's manipulated and financed by a foreign power. These nobodies aside, you'll find that for a reason that may be legitimate or illegitimate; moral or immoral – the initiators of wars have come from such places as Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy, Democratic India, and successive American and Israeli administrations; all of whom got elected by promising to wage war.

With this in mind, let it be known that war is the highest item on the populist causes. If you want proof as to the validity of this statement, look what's happening in Europe and America these days. It's as if the “Western” world was clamoring for the ships of state to be run on time as well as Mussolini made the trains run on time.

Now that Krauthammer has killed the idea of history being cyclical, he tries to show that the conservative arrow of history is superior to the liberal arrow. To this end, he says that the liberal variety, which depends on global institutions, is inherently flimsy and generally powerless ... whereas the conservative variety relies on the sturdiness of democracy to bring about the sought after international harmony.

Is that all? Is democracy the only remedy the author says will save mankind from itself? Not on your life – not to Charles Krauthammer, the neoconservative. His mouth may sound like that of a dove, but his heart beats like that of a hawk.

Lucky for him, he discovers that Obama was forced to suspend his idealism and adopt realism – or so he believes. To contain China, says he, President Obama returned the American military to the Philippines, and has allowed the sale of weapons to Vietnam. And this, my friend, is what makes a hawkish heart flutter with joy.

That's old style containment, says Krauthammer; “it is raw, soulless realpolitik.” For this reason, he believes that Obama will leave a double legacy: one that is from the liberal realm, and one that is from the conservative realm. Well, better half a loaf than no loaf at all.