Friday, August 28, 2020

What's there to do when we reach the end?

Joschka Fischer wrote an interesting article under the title: “The End of Western Opportunism,” and had it published on August 24, 2020 in the online magazine, Project Syndicate.

In addition to being interesting, the article is also important because the writer was the Foreign Minister and Vice Chancellor of Germany for seven years, and then became founder of the country's Green Party as well as its leader for almost twenty years.

The point Joschka Fischer makes is that the West, looking at its own rise into the industrial age and the history of its modernization, thought that China will follow a similar pattern and eventually become a capitalist liberal democracy styled after the Western countries. Alas, this did not happen. But after fifty years of opening itself to the world, China has pursued a path that was never tried before. As a result, it has done very well for itself but also became a menace to the Western politico-economic system, according to Fischer.

Fischer sees that the competition between the Western and Chinese systems is transforming into a serious confrontation where both will continue to vie for a dominant position in technology, trade, global market share, supply chains, and more importantly in fundamental values. And so, he concluded that at the end of the day, everything can be negotiated except the fundamental values by which the West must stick firmly.

Has Joschka Fischer neglected to look into something? The answer is yes, and you get a sense of what it is when you parse the following passage in his article:

“Through it all, Western leaders assumed that modernization and economic development would lead China eventually to adopt democracy, embrace human rights, and the rule of law. They were wrong. The Communist Party of China has evolved a novel hybrid development model consisting of a one-party dictatorship, a highly competitive economy, and a consumer society”.

Fischer has observed that Western leaders have “assumed,” but they turned out to be “wrong.” And yet, he did not stop and ask why this kept happening for as long as it did. Had he done so, he would have widened his perspective enormously, and would have encountered a plethora of leads in which to look for ways to forge a Chinese-Western relationship that would benefit all of humanity for as long as there will be a human species in this world and out there in the universe.

So then we ask, why did the Western leaders go wrong making the false assumptions that they did? The answer is that they looked at the pattern of their own development since the Industrial Revolution, and thought it was going to serve as template for the countries that will follow. But things did not turn out that way because of two main reasons.

The first reason has to do with the fact that the development of the Europeans happened organically. That is, they were at the leading edge of science, technology and human development, and had no pattern to follow. When a breakthrough happened in one area, it reverberated in the other areas, causing them to also change. Thus, everything in society moved forward at the same pace.

This happened not only on the technical and industrial levels where the tools, the machines and the products kept changing, but also on the societal levels where people had to adapt. That is, in the same way that a new discovery in science has led to a new process in industry, it happened that a new invention in technology has caused society to change its lifestyle. It was led to adopt new methods of interaction among the citizens, and between the citizens and their government.

The other reason why the European pattern has failed to take roots in the emerging economies––one of them being China––is that these economies were not going to reinvent the wheel. The European pattern was there for them to look at and study but not to follow. Instead of making the tools that helped make the machines that were making the consumer products, the emerging economies bought the production machines from the West, made the consumer products at a lower price, sold them to the Western societies and paid for the machines they were buying from them.

Whereas the leaders of the emerging economies welcomed the science, technology and industry of the West, they determined that the political culture of the West was not suitable for them and so, they decided to experiment with new systems of governance and economics. Experimentation is what's taking place at this time in the major emerging economies––such as China––and this does not sit well with the West that fears being overtaken by an alien system they will not want to emulate.

This is why it will be better for the Western leaders to accept the other economies the way they are, and the way they choose to evolve. Instead of getting in their way, the West should cooperate with them in matters that concern all of humanity such as our stay on this planet, and what we'll need to discover and develop beyond it.