Monday, March 19, 2018

Young Adult hangs on to his juvenile Mindset

When you've been a teacher that had to deal with the emotional difficulties confronting teenagers and young adults, and when you've made it your hobby to study the behavior exhibited by the higher primates, you discover a striking similarity between the conduct of the two.

You come to realize that even the most ferocious of bullies fear getting into a fight against an opponent no matter how small and weak he may appear. In fact, most bullies prefer to stage threatening theatrics hoping to intimidate the opponent and scare him enough that he'll go away, thus avoid having a fight.

After reading a number of articles written by Matthew Continetti, you become aware of the reality that he is a young adult whose mindset is still rooted in his adolescent years. This reality has revealed itself once again in the article he wrote under the title: “So Long to the Iran Deal,” published on March 18, 2018 in National Review Online.

What you'll discover in that article is a mentally active young man named Matthew. He is looking at the antics of a grown man, Donald Trump, that happens to be President of the United States; an individual whose life story and ascendance to the highest office in the land have been unusual. Unable to see deep into the President's domestic or foreign game plans, young Matthew interprets the man’s outward behavior in accordance with the principles that used to motivate him and the schoolboys he used to hang around with not long ago.

And like the bully who would rather intimidate than fight an opponent, Matthew Continetti has kept another trait from his adolescent years. It is that he worships every role model he dreams of emulating someday. Right now, he views Donald Trump as the omnipotent bully that makes his opponents cower and submit, or run away each time that he raises his voice and roars. As it happens, this is the cartoon-like, superficial image of Donald Trump that Continetti has painted in his article.

Euphoric about President Trump firing the dovish Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State, replacing him with the apparently hawkish Mike Pompeo, the boyish-at-heart Matthew Continetti jubilantly declared that “the Iran deal may not last much longer than Tillerson.” Mixing irrelevant information already in the public domain with fantasy he fabricated in his own mind, Continetti reached the conclusion that, “Pompeo will give Iran's rulers plenty of reasons to worry. They already have plenty to worry about … inflation, a banking crisis, additional sanctions and the threat of military action, will make their problems worse,” he went on to say.

This being his interpretation of what he believes he is seeing, the boy Matthew switched to the speculative mode and attributed to himself the qualities he imagines characterize the Trump-Pompeo team. Thus, speaking about himself using the pseudonym Pompeo, the boy started to design a strategy in his own mind; one that will take on America's enemies and beat them. The first that he decreed was this: “What [Matthew] Pompeo can do is shift the conflict into terrain of OUR choosing, and decide it on OUR terms”.

He went on to explain his strategy as follows: “Deterrence is based on fear of reprisal. We have seen this process at work in the Korean peninsula, where OUR threats of fire and fury have backed Kim Jong Un into an apparent willingness to negotiate … What is amazing to ME is that so many Americans seem not to understand the basic concept underlying deterrence that has guided American foreign policy for decades”.

And this is where Matthew proved himself to be as wet as a baby whose nanny forgot to put him in diaper. The fact is that the North Koreans were not deterred in the 1950s, the North Vietnamese were not in the 1960s, the Soviets were not in the 1970s, the Iranians were not in the 1980s, the Serbians were not in the 1990s, the Iraqis were not in the 2000s and the Syrians were not in the 2010s.

Continetti went on to speculate that because “Iranian fast boats that have plagued traffic in the Persian Gulf stopped their provocations,” meant that the Iranians were anxious about what Trump and Mattis might do to them. He went on to fantasize, “might not the presence at the table of Pompeo spook the Iranians even further?”

No, the Iranians were not spooked today anymore than they were by Ronald Reagan when he quietly negotiated the release of American embassy hostages in return for weapons. And neither has Kim Jong Un been spooked into negotiating the way that the boy Matthew believes he did.

When he'll have lived long enough to realize that most of what's important in world affairs is negotiated away from the eyes of little guys who are more of a nuisance than a beacon of light, Matthew should stop speculating and start learning how to be a journalist. Till then, he should leave the analysis of subjects concerning war and peace to grownups.