Sunday, September 8, 2013

The Things We Know and Those We Don't

The rulers of Syria say they did not use chemical weapons; it was the opposition that did. Maybe they are telling the truth; maybe they are telling half-truths; maybe they are telling lies. History will find out eventually what they did, and will judge them accordingly.

If it is proven that they committed the atrocities shown on television, history will record that they did what they did in desperation while facing a foreign led insurgency that they felt was threatening the very existence of their nation. They responded in a horrifying manner to an invasion, but their response was not unique in the annals of war history where all sorts of ways were used to inflict maximum pain on combatants and non-combatants alike.

Just ask the people of Hiroshima and Nagasaki who were bombed with nuclear weapons not because America was facing an existential threat but to shorten the war as claimed by the leaders in Washington. A similar fate was inflicted on the civilian population of Dresden where America carpet bombed the city mercilessly without even explaining the necessity to do so.

We do not know at this time if the rulers of Syria saw the video that was shown on our television screens. And we do not know how they might have reacted to the image of children and adult bodies dumped on the floor and left for dead or left to die a horrible death. It could be that the rulers of Syria may now be willing to do everything in their power or accept any offer presented to them that will end the conflict. If there is a hint of humanity in them, they would be reaching out for such a scenario, hoping that a way can be found to end the conflict, and that a good arrangement can be fashioned to make it stick.

The aforementioned is what we do not know. But if in response to what is happening in the Middle East, the current rulers of America decide to unleash their own weapons against Syria, history will want to judge them too. The difference is that there will be no guesses here because we know that they have seen the videos and have decided that despite the horrors of war, they will escalate by sending Tomahawk missiles to demolish a few buildings in Syria, and ignite a few fires. They don't pretend this will bring back the dead, and they don't offer guaranties that their action will not add to the dead and the maimed.

And they are smart enough not to dispute that innocent people will get trapped under the fallen buildings, remaining there for as long as a week or two, suffering as much as the people that were poisoned by the chemicals – and maybe get rescued or maybe not. And neither will the smart folks dispute that combatants as well as innocent civilians will lose limbs and other parts of the body; or suffer burns to most of it, thus lead a life of constant pain and living hell. Will the rulers of America then look at these people in the eyes – be they Syrian or American – and say to them: Thank your lucky stars that you didn't die by chemical poison? No, they will not do that because they are smart enough to know better.

Well, President Barack Obama who is one of the rulers in America will soon give a speech to tell his nation what he has in mind with regard to the situation in the Middle East. He can whip up the nation to a high level of war fever or he can present his people with a creative scenario that will involve all the players in the region, and those beyond it lined up one side or the other in the conflict.

In that speech, the President can make an offer that the rulers in Syria who are willing to do everything in their power to sue for peace, will see his offer as reasonable. He can make it so that they will want to jump at the opportunity to end the conflict. He can make it so that they will accept a scenario detailing a way to end the conflict, and showing the outlines of an arrangement that will make the ensuing peace stick. This must be the foremost preoccupation on the mind of the President at this time because the alternative is the continuation of the horror that has been plaguing that part of the world for more than half a century.

If, on the other hand, the Americans are going to entertain the assumption that they will hurt the Syrian army just enough to force the rulers of that country to come to the bargaining table, they must also entertain the assumption that the Russians or the Iranians might have developed a weapon that can tackle the slow flying Tomahawk and destroy it in mid-air. The Russian, Iranian and Syrian generals would most certainly be eager to test the new weapon in a real combat situation, wringing their hands with anticipation. Accede to their wish, America, and you will be so humiliated, you will want to have your head kicked.

As to the President, the American habit of blaming everything that goes badly on the man at the top will kick in as it always does, and the people will hold him responsible for everything that went bad in the past, and everything that will go bad in the future. Moreover, it must be known that the habit rarely comes without the companion habit of looking for cheap reasons why the man was not up to the job. In the case of this President, they will say he was only equal to half the W. This being a single U, it will come to represent the words Underachiever and Underwhelming – maybe even Useless. And you can bet that some people will go as far as comfort themselves and each other with a remark like: Oh well, it was an Affirmative Action experiment that did not go well. Let's not repeat it again.

All this could be in the cards for an America that will no longer be seen as the liberator who rescues people in trouble, but seen as a Dracula that had a Russian or Iranian stake driven into his Tomahawk heart. Rightly or wrongly, the world will come to see that the threat plaguing the human race for the past half century has been eliminated at long last, thus making life a little more pleasant for all of us.

The ball is in your court, Barack Obama, blow it and you'll make the W. as well as Trick Dicky look like a couple of saints.