Monday, March 24, 2014

A New World Order or a Pipe Dream?

Victor Ponta who is the prime minister of Romania, has penned an article that was published in the March 21, 2014 issue of the Wall Street Journal under the title: “Forging a Trans-Atlantic Superpower” and the subtitle: “To defend the West, we must form a full-fledged EU-U.S. Economic union.” The remarkable thing about this piece is that it exposes the state of anxiety in which the former Eastern European countries now live, and the grand solutions they believe could save them from what lies ahead.

The anxiety is not caused by the fear they may be invaded by Russia as it is by the sense that the benefits accruing to them from their integration into the club of the Western Democracies may have run its course, and has reached a plateau after which very little will be added to their societies. He does not admit to any of that, of course, but he tries to make use of the security issue to argue for an economic policy he believes will benefit his country for a while longer as well as the other nations that left the Soviet orbit.

He begins his presentation with a thud: “The dramatic events in Ukraine illustrate a historic moral hazard.” He goes on to say that the hazard created a mindset which got the countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) to neglect their security. They were not ignorant of what was going on, he hastens to say, but their membership in the EU and in NATO made them believe – like everyone else – in the “end of history.” And so they turned complacent when it came to matters relating to national security.

Those matters out of the way, the leaders of the countries in the region spent their time settling old domestic scores, something that got them to lose the “instinct for thinking big,” he says. He then explains something that many of us old-timers knew too well. It is that Romania, of all the Eastern European nations, displayed megalomaniac tendencies of the most extreme kind under the reign of Ceausescu. He now begins to make his pitch for a new world order: “Only together do Europe and the U.S. stand a chance of keeping liberal democracy as the doctrine for organizing world affairs.” That's thinking big, alright, perhaps as big as the massive buildings that Ceausescu loved to build all over the country before his people shot him and his wife to death.

But Victor Ponta does not sound convincing when he talks about spreading liberal democracy around the world. He knows this will happen if and when the local people are ready for it, not when democracy is imposed on them from the outside. However, this kind of talk is what sells in America today, and so he links it to his favorite subject: the economy. He put it this way: “the recent events in Ukraine show that wielding power internationally depends on a player's ability to both impart and withstand economic shocks.” In other words, he is saying to America and to Western Europe: If you want the world to become liberal and democratic, you will have to strengthen your economies; something you can only do by fully integrating with us.

Here are his words: “The solution lies in deeper economic integration within the Western world … between Europe and the U.S. … The endgame is an Atlantic economic superpower … whose hard security would be guaranteed by NATO.” And make no mistake about it, dear reader, this is not something he thought about on the spur of the moment or even yesterday. It is something that has fully matured in his head over a long period of time; something for which he even worked out the details.

He missed nothing, and left none of the details to chance: “before we can begin to work toward full trans-Atlantic economic union, we must first...” He goes on to list and discuss conditions that range from dealing with the psychology of distrust among the citizens to economic fairness, the environment, social mobility and entrenched thinking on both sides.

When done with this, he promises that thinking big will return to these nations, and the “grand Western Project” will be realized. And Romania will be there, he says: “strong and dignified” shouldering its share of responsibility within the Atlantic superpower, throughout all stages of the project's coming into being.

What seems to escape this man is that Western Europe does not look forward to reviving the glory days of a bygone era. What these people seek is a steady state sort of existence that aims not to challenge and beat all the others, but to cooperate with them for the good of mankind. With the exception of a handful of backward looking hotheads in America, the average American today is beginning to think that way also.

If the Eastern Europeans want to continue thriving, they too will have to begin thinking along these lines.