Monday, March 10, 2014

Catch the Hawk Sipping Cognac

The hawk is a bird of prey. It hunts to eat and to stay alive. Like the hunter in many another species, the hawk is a smart bird, and must remain smart or it gets overrun by other hunters that would be competing for the same food, and left to die of hunger. By analogy, human beings that espouse a geopolitical position that is unforgiving toward a potential foe, are usually called hawks. But unlike the real hawks, they don't have to be smart because they don't do the hunting themselves; they only incite someone else to do the deadly work that ends up benefiting them one way or the other.

There is one such hawk among many in America who goes by the name Jim Thomas. He wrote an article under the title: “How to Put Military Pressure on Russia” and the subtitle: “NATO now has reason to station nuclear forces in front-line member states.” It was published in the Wall Street Journal on March 10, 2014. You can already tell from the subtitle that he was just waiting for an excuse to see America station nuclear forces in Europe, and he believes that the country has been given that excuse.

He uses the overused phrase “wake-up call” to signal that someone else was asleep while he was awake; and he wants that someone to wake up and see what he believes he is seeing. That someone happens to be the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), and he wants it to see what its deficient thinking has done. He wants it to see that it has turned Putin into a cat, and has turned Crimea into a catnip. And he laments that the twain have now met because Russia has seized Crimea, and may be about to gulp more of its neighbors.

Two decades of deficient thinking have caused the European members of NATO to spend ever-smaller sums on security, he says. Even America is now cutting its defense budget while trying to expand its mission abroad by pivoting to the Asia-Pacific theater. And what is the result of this repeated deficiency in thinking? It is that the pundits and the government officials have tended to emphasize the political and economic suasion for dealing with the Russian bear, he says. It is still a bear – from the way that Thomas describes Russia – but it is one that has developed the nose of a cat; a feline that is on the prowl sniffing for the catnip, its favorite herbal plant.

And the neighborhood where the bear-cum-cat may try to strike next, says Jim Thomas, is the one that contains the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania because that is where “mother” Russia can use the excuse of protecting the ethnic Russian population, and do to them what it did to Crimea. This is why, says our author, it is not enough to impose sanctions on Russia, skip the G-8 summit in Sochi, hit the Russian oligarchs in their pocketbooks or isolate Russia in international forums. What is needed in addition to all that are the military options, he asserts.

And so, he goes on to lay out in detail what needs to be done in that regard. His plan comes in five steps. The first of which is to give Poland the planes that can carry nuclear weapons. At the same time, look around the entire region for places where nuclear weapons can be stored. Second, NATO conventional forces should be stationed permanently in Poland, Romania and the Baltic states. Third, NATO should declare its willingness to assist Ukraine with supplies ranging from the humanitarian to the most advanced lethal weapons used by guerrilla forces that will be called resistance. Fourth, supply the Syrian guerrillas with lethal weapons so that they may defeat Bashar Assad, and put the port of Tartus where Russia has a naval base in jeopardy. Fifth, stop leading from behind, forget about eliminating nuclear weapons world-wide, and ditch that thing about having a reset with Russia.

And he ends the article by saying that Washington and Europe should spend more money on defense rather than cut back, which is what they are doing now.

And sitting in the comfort of his office, this old man – like his predecessors of the Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan eras – will sip on his favorite drink while listening to the news reporting how many people died today, how many got injured and how many were rendered refugees. He will then switch to the stock market and see how much higher his military industrial complex securities have gone today.

And he will say to himself: How satisfying that I am still alive and enjoying this comfort. May tomorrow be even more satisfying.