Friday, March 27, 2015

WSJ says only America can fill a Vacuum

Look at this Wall Street Journal title: “Obama's Mideast Vacuum”. Now look at this subtitle: “The Saudis invade Yemen as the Sunni-Shiite war escalates.” The two sayings belong to one and the same article – actually an editorial of the Journal that was published on March 27, 2015.

The editors are saying that the Saudis are now in Yemen but they consider the place to still be a vacuum because America is not there ... in fact, America was there, they go on to say, but President Obama is pulling out because he no longer wants to remain in Yemen.

Beginning with this premise and the mentality that goes with it, the editors try to make a case for America to continue being where it has failed. They make this argument because, in their view, it is better to perpetuate the misery of American failure than to give a chance for someone else to succeed at something. But what is that something? In fact, the editors do not even attempt to define success in the way that sane people do. That's because they have already defined it as America being there and everywhere, filling a vacuum whether or not the vacuum has already be filled by someone.

The situation that is unfolding at this time in Yemen started a few days ago when the pro-Shiite Houthi militias entered the capital San'a and seized it. That's when Mr. Obama ordered the withdrawal of the American personnel who were there conducting the drone air war against the militias – formerly named terrorists. Upon this withdrawal, the Saudis launched their own air war against the same “enemy,” a move that prompted the editors of the journal to declare that Obama's vacuum “produced a region on fire,” asserting that the situation “is becoming a broad Sunni-Shiite war”.

The editors go on to speculate the following: “What had been a proxy war is in danger of becoming a direct Saudi-Iran conflict.” They assert that this potential development was caused by Obama's decision to withdraw because “the Saudis [have] given up on the U.S. as a stabilizing force in the Middle East.”

But right after that, the editors go on to say something that attests to a mentality which values American failure more than Saudi success. Are you ready for it? Here it is: “This resembles their [Saudi] intervention into Bahrain in 2011 to put down a rebellion by its Shiite majority against the Sunni government.” Well, this has been the Saudi success that the editors of the Journal cannot stomach, preferring to see a repeat of America's fiasco in Yemen, Libya and Iraq. They call America's performance in these cases “a stabilizing force” whereas Bahrain, in their view, remains a risk.

However, unable to ignore the stability that has reigned in Bahrain during all these years with no sign that it will fail anytime soon, the editors make the point that “Tehran probably won't intervene directly, but … will try to bleed the Saudis and their allies for as long as possible.” And this is why they recommend that “Mr. Obama should do what it takes to help an ally win.” Commendable, isn't it? But wait a minute, how do they say Obama should help that ally?

This is how the editors put it: “a warning to Iran that the U.S. will assist in stopping Iranian flights that arm the Houthis … Iran needs to be told its flights run the risk of being shot down.” This means the editors still wish to see America get involved to “fill a vacuum” if only partially. Whereas they speculate everywhere as to what the future may hold, they now say nothing about what will happen when escalation will result, as surely as it will, and lead to a mission creep with consequences that will duplicate the murderous days of “shock and awe.”

But perhaps this is what they dream about because they leap at this point to a discussion about the nuclear deal with Iran. This is a subject about which they made clear for years that they wish to see America take the option on the table, and shock and awe the Iranians.

They accuse Obama of being obsessed with making a deal that “seems increasingly out of this world” and go on to say that America's allies in the region fear he wants to cast them aside and create a new U.S.-Iran alliance.

What they do not say is that if this should come to pass, America's influence on Iran will be so positive, it will accomplish what shock and awe has failed to accomplish in Iraq. And there will be no need to cast the other allies aside.