Saturday, January 23, 2016

Consequences of the Mother of all Swaps

I write this article in response to Benny Avni's column that came under the title: “Why Iran's thugs just took more hostages,” published on January 21, 2016 in the New York Post. This discussion is actually a continuation of what I started to parse in the previous article; that which came under the title: “Krauthammer gets the Swap Story all wrong”.

The point I made then was that the Republican President, Ronald Reagan began his tenure as President of the United States by conducting the biggest swap ever made by America with another country. The peculiarity of that swap, however, is that it did not involve the usual prisoner for prisoner exchange, but the release of American prisoners held in Iran in exchange for lethal American weapons stored in Israel.

The reason why it is necessary to recall this episode is that the folklore which arose about Reagan's herculean qualities in standing up to the vile enemies of America and winning by staring at them and talking tough – is delusional poppycock peddled by those who have no idea what they are talking about. The truth must be told to avoid feeding a cottage industry that is out there fabricating urban legends based on a legacy of Ronald Reagan he would be astonished to hear were he alive today.

A consequence of those legends is what we see in the current article by Benny Avni. His point is that Iran's thugs “just took more hostages” because the current President, Barack Obama did not stare at the Iranians and did not talk tough to them as Reagan would have done. Believe it or not, that is only a sample of the delusional poppycock which is endlessly fabricated and constantly peddled by the likes of the New York Post and the Fox News contributors who try to outdo each other at the business of inflating the Reagan legacy.

Avni has “connected the dots” and has speculated on a narrative that is based on what he calls “credible reports” to the effect that three American citizens were kidnapped and transferred by their captors to a city in Iraq that is ruled by an Iranian-backed Shiite militia. And this, in his view, makes it so that the culprit in all of this is none other than the American President, Barack Obama.

That is the case, he says, because Obama exchanged prisoners for prisoners with Iran instead of doing what Reagan would have done, which would be to stare at the Iranians, talk tough to them, and then ask the Israelis to ship lethal weapons to Iran. As can be seen, the delusional poppycock has now transformed into sheer right-wing madness.

But what did those credible reports say that convinced Benny Avni of the narrative he is peddling? He says the reports constitute “a dark story” told by the Iraqis. Here it is: “Two men and one woman were partying in an area described as a 'red light district.' The source speculated that the three had American passports … This turned them into a commodity and they became valuable.” That's why they were kidnapped, says Avni – well, make that, apparently so because he cannot be one hundred percent sure.

But was there a demand for an exchange of prisoners? No. Well then, was there a demand for a monetary ransom? No. So then, what? Then, the urban legend stands because urban legends do not need legs to stand on; they simply need to be told once and they live at perpetuity. Get it?

That point made with clarity, and because “US citizens are now held in an Iraqi area where Iran wields much influence,” Benny Avni and those like him feel free to perpetuate the myth that Barack Obama and John Kerry are the guilty parties in this whole affair. It is as simple as that.

What makes matters even worse in the eyes of the Avnis of this world is that the unfolding of the recent history is yielding consequences even more ominous than previously thought. Are you ready for them? Here they are:

“Now, in the eyes of American officials, Iran can do no wrong ... even if there was no direct order from Tehran, the kidnappers must have believed that their Iranian patrons would be pleased … whatever the reality, the new situation won't be resolved without Tehran's involvement … after all, the Islamic Republic has yet to shed old habits. The Guards or some proxy can always find new hostages to start the whole process anew.”

And the likes of Benny Avni will keep on creating and peddling urban legends that will never die.