Friday, June 19, 2015

Disorder is in the Eye of the Beholder

To say that history has ended is to say that the human soap opera has come to an end. But since the characters of a drama cannot vanish into thin air, to end history means to freeze-frame the action. The result is that you get a static snapshot of a point in time, and you never know what might have transpired next.

This is the concept that paralyzes the Jewish thinking; the one that has caused them horrendous misery for thousands of years. Yet, Benny Avni is again invoking that concept to tell how he understands the current episode of the human soap opera. He presents his analysis in an article titled: “How Obama gave us a new world disorder,” published on June 18, 2015 in the New York Post.

After a long analysis of what he believes is reality, the writer concludes the article with this opinion: “The next president's challenge, then, is to understand that Obama has ushered in the return of history.” And all of a sudden, the questions that you have been asking while reading the piece are answered. Now you know that you wondered, you were astonished and you puzzled because Avni was not describing an unfolding drama; he was describing a static snapshot … at best, a handful of snapshots.

What's wrong with this approach is that it differs markedly from what is required to understand history. Whereas authentic historians (whether trained academically or having a natural talent for it) view history in terms of the forces that move the populations of nations and their leaders to act this way or that way, the Jewish ideology compels its adherents, wherever they may be on the globe, to do something else.

In Judaism, each “interesting” moment is viewed as a sign that the promise they will be rewarded for being who they are and for their patience, is about to be fulfilled. When this does not happen, their leaders tell them to consider such moments as dots that must be connected to understand why the promise has not yet been fulfilled. And their conclusion always boils down to the finding that a non-Jew did them in yet again.

In their view, the villain that stood in the way of their getting their just reward this time is none other than the President of the United States of America, Barack Obama. Despite all that he did to help Israel secure its survival, he did not do the one thing that would have fully satisfied them. It was to maintain the ongoing wars, to start new ones, or at least remain on a permanent war footing.

Here is how Avni has formulated that thinking: “He [Obama] ignored 'old' conflicts; he's also failing at the 'new' wars of our time … the 'new' conflicts include: non-state militias, fanatics, terror groups, and nuclear proliferation.” So you want to know what snapshots he used as dots to make the connections that led him to that insane conclusion.

This is what you encounter as you read the article he wrote: (1) in the 2012 debate with Mitt Romney, Obama offered a now-famous line. (2) Obama's crack was intended to be made at Romney's expense, but the president turned out to be the punch line. (3) Hillary Clinton presented Russia's Lavrov with “reset” button – only it has the Russian word for 'overcharge,' not 'reset,' on it. (4) Obama learned the wrong lessons from the past. The right approach was laid out by Ronald Reagan: “We win, they lose.” (5) Obama's lack of historical perspective deprived him of any coherent strategic thinking. Putin realized that what makes sense for Russia is to revert to the policies of yore.

That is the list Avni discusses, having started with this: “Vladimir Putin reacted to a Pentagon plan to place 5,000 troops in [the former Soviet satellites] with a counter-threat: 'Our nuclear forces will be supplied with more than 40 new intercontinental ballistic missiles.'” Had he possessed a historical perspective based on history being an ongoing drama rather than a series of snapshots, he would have realized that the world is where it is today because NATO reneged on its promise not to recruit into its ranks the nations that the Soviet Union let go.

The truth is that Putin is responding to what W. Bush started when he broke the promise, then followed with the foolish promise that America will arm itself to remain militarily superior to all the others put together. He thus started the new arms race and the new Cold War. Obama understands this, and uses firmness where needed and flexibility where possible to diffuse the situation. The Jews should be thankful instead of being treasonous.